![]() ![]() Unfortunately, because of how fairly split this matchup is, that also means if you are trailing, the likelihood of even having a chance is low the more you are trying to catch, regardless of who you pick. The larger the group of contenders, the more your individual pool will likely approximate those estimates. If you are part of a larger group tied for the lead, you have a better chance of finishing at a higher average value by taking San Francisco as the slightly more likely winner and slightly less popular pick. The numbers say San Francisco is the value play. Fixed Points (all entries get the same points for win) So in a small sample of opponents, you could see the picks go any number of directions. Plus, the win odds and pick popularity are both pretty close, under 60% and above 40% for all options. Ordinarily you would want to take the favorite and more popular team if in the lead, but those are two different teams here. Meanwhile, the Chiefs are more popular, drawing around 57% of picks. Right now, the game odds are pretty even for the two teams, with the 49ers a slight favorite with 54% win odds. We are down to the final game, so you only have to make one decision: KC or SF? In both cases, we see that the public disagrees with who the favorite should be, favoring the defending Super Bowl Champion Chiefs, and taking them a little more frequently when also getting points in spread pools. Right now, the spread is most commonly at two points in favor of San Francisco, so it’s not surprising to see the game-winner and spread data in line with each other. Kansas City, 50 percent cover odds, 62 percent popularity.San Francisco, 50 percent cover odds, 38 percent popularity.Kansas City, 46 percent win odds, 57 percent popularity.San Francisco, 54 percent win odds, 43 percent popularity.Here are the early pick popularity numbers in game-winner and spread pools: Thursday 2/1 2024 Super Bowl Pick Popularity Data The over/under for the game is 47.5 points. San Francisco has 51% win odds, in a close matchup. San Francisco is now a 1-point favorite against Kansas City (it initially opened at 2.5 points on Sunday night briefly). San Francisco, meanwhile, came back from a big 24.7 halftime deficit to beat the Detroit Lions. That makes this the first Super Bowl (out of the four in the last five seasons) where they didn’t have home field in the AFC playoffs. Kansas City continued to show their ability to get it done in the playoffs, winning again on the road at Baltimore. SUPER BOWL CONTENT Monday 1/29 2024 Super Bowl Matchup, Spread and Totalįour years after they met in the Super Bowl, Kansas City and San Francisco are back. The earlier you get your question in, the better the odds that we can respond in time. Just make sure to do it by Friday at noon before the Super Bowl to guarantee that we have time to review it. Subscribers who still have questions after reading this article can submit them via the product’s Q&A Forum. Here are the updates and plan for the Super Bowl: The Super Bowl is here, which means there’s only one game remaining in playoff pick’em pools. ![]() We update it multiple times weekly throughout the playoffs, and include news updates that are likely to impact pick’em pool strategy. Instead, this article provides our data-driven pick advice for playoff pick’em pools, from the Wild Card Round to the Super Bowl. If you don’t already have access, you’ll see a button at the bottom of this page to subscribe.īecause of the unique complexity of NFL playoff pick’em pools, our Football Pick’em Picks product does not provide customized, pool-specific pick recommendations for playoff pools like it does for regular-season pools. This is a premium article available to subscribers with access to our Football Pick’em Picks product. Welcome to the PoolGenius pick strategy article for 2023-24 NFL playoffs pick’em pools (and for pools that include both the regular season and playoffs). Instead, this pick strategy article will be updated to guide your pick selections. It does not provide customized picks for each of your pools. IMPORTANT: The Football Pick’em Picks product works differently for the playoffs. ![]()
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